Hurricane Matthew Sunday update

NOAA IR Satellite Image

NOAA IR Satellite Image

Hurricane Matthew has weakened slightly since Saturday due to dry air entering the circulation from South America.  Currently max winds are about 120 knots with hurricane force winds extending 30 NM to the northeast and 15 NM to the southwest.  Damaging 50 knot or higher winds extend outward  60 NM to the northeast and 30 NM to the southwest.  Maximum significant wave height is estimated to be 36-40 feet (11-12 meters).

NOAA NHC Forecast Track

NOAA NHC Forecast Track

 

Matthew is forecast to move northward while slowly weakening passing east of Jamaica and near or over the extreme southwestern tip of Haiti Monday night, passing over the Windward Passage and the easternmost tip of Cuba early Tuesday.

After passing northward of Cuba, models suggest a turn towards the N-NW as it moves across the Bahamas, however, there is still uncertainty in the track and intensity after 72 hours.

NOAA NHC Risk for encountering at least 50 knot winds.

NOAA NHC Risk for encountering at least 50 knot winds.

 

About Fred Pickhardt

Fred Pickhardt, Marine Meteorologist I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade. I have extensive experience in marine weather analysis, marine weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic marine weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.
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