Tropical Storm Nate is poorly organized with max winds of about 45 knots (50 mph) located 50 nm from the center and was moving just west of north at 18 knots.
Nate is expected to move quickly north-northwestward for the next 36 hours then turn more towards the north, then northeast. The center of Nate should pass near or over the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula later today or this evening followed by landfall on the northern Gulf Coast in about 36-48 hours.
Conditions appear favorable for strengthening and Nate is expected to make landfall there as a hurricane, however, the fast motion of Nate should limit development somewhat. Life-threatening storm surge flooding is likely along portions of the northern Gulf Coast, and a storm surge warning has been issued from Morgan City, Louisiana, to the Alabama/Florida border. Current forecasts suggest landfall between Buras,LA and Mobile, AL.