North Atlantic Cooling will affect the Hurricane Season

Bermuda High

Bermuda High and Tropical Cyclone tracks

The main tropical development area for the North Atlantic continues to cool relative to recent averages suggesting a stronger than normal Bermuda-Azores ridge. When this high pressure ridge is stronger or displaced west, as it appears to be now, tropical storm formation is less likely due to

NCEP Reanalysis mean surface pressure April 2018. Image credit https://www.tropicaltidbits.com

stronger wind shear and cooler SST temperatures caused by stronger trade winds, however, when tropical cyclones do form, a strong Bermuda-Azores high will tend to cause storms to track farther to the west increasing landfall risks.

 

Sea Surface Temperature Anomaly May 2018

About Fred Pickhardt

Fred Pickhardt, Marine Meteorologist I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade. I have extensive experience in marine weather analysis, marine weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic marine weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.
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