Author Archives: Fred Pickhardt

About Fred Pickhardt

I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade after graduating from State University of New York Maritime College. I have extensive experience in weather analysis, weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.

What is a Storm Surge?

Storm Surge is the abnormal sea level elevations (or depressions) caused by winds and atmospheric pressure. The components are: 1. Coastal set up (down) by the along shore wind stress.  In deep water, the Earth’s rotation causes a water to … Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed probability graphic

In addition to the familiar National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) hurricane track forecast with it’s iconic cone, the NHC also produces a wind speed probabilities graphic. Continue reading

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2020 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook issued by Colorado State University

The Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University has issued its “Extended Range Forecast for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season.   The outlook anticipates that the 2020 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. The report points to the current … Continue reading

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Hurricane Storm Surges in Tampa Bay

The highest storm surges in Tampa Bay are usually associated with hurricanes, with the three highest tides occurring during Cat 3 storms in 1848, 1921 and 1985. Hurricane Elena in late August of 1985 caused the highest storm surge recorded … Continue reading

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Two Major North Atlantic Hurricane-force Storms Expected

Two major hurricane-force storm lows are forecast to develop and move across the North Atlantic during the next 72 hours producing winds up to 80 knots and significant wave heights to 17 meters (over 55 feet)!  Continue reading

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Hurricane-Force Storm expected over Gulf of Alaska

A rapidly deepening storm low is forecast over the east-central North Pacific over the next 48 hours Continue reading

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Hurricane-Force Storm NW of Ireland

An intense winter storm over the eastern North Atlantic northwest of Ireland has been producing hurricane-force winds with significant wave heights to 16 meters (52 feet) west of Ireland.

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Capsizing and Sinking of Barge Dredge200 and Loss of Workboat R.E. Pierson 2 Pushed by Tugboat Big Jake

The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) has determined that the probable cause of the capsizing and sinking of the Dredge200 and the R.E. Pierson 2  in December 2, 2018 was the decision by the tow captain and owner to attempt … Continue reading

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Intense Hurricane-Force Storm developing east of Japan

A rapidly deepening storm low over the western North Pacific east of Japan is forecast to reach 944 mb with winds of 55-75 knots and seas building to 58 feet (17.7 meters) over the next 12-24 hours.

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Typhoon Forecast to impact Philippines on Christmas

Tropical Storm Phanfone over the western North Pacific east of the Philippines is tracking westward at 14 knots with max winds about 55 knots. Conditions favor additional strengthening with max winds reaching near 70 knots within the next 12 hours … Continue reading

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