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Author Archives: Fred Pickhardt
Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity?
Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity and can these influences be detected? This question is important given the high risk to populations along coastal regions. This question was tackled in a recent assessment published in The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change, Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclones
Tagged Climate Change, Hurricane, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclone
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Tampa Bay Hurricane Storm Surge Scenarios
While no storm scenario is a good one for the Tampa Bay area, the worst case is when the hurricane center is located north of the Tampa Bay entrance such that the maximum winds associated with the eye wall occur at the mouth of the bay with storms making landfall farther north result in lower surges. Continue reading
What is a Storm Surge?
Storm Surge is the abnormal sea level elevations (or depressions) caused by winds and atmospheric pressure. The components are: 1. Coastal set up (down) by the along shore wind stress. In deep water, the Earth’s rotation causes a water to … Continue reading
Posted in Meteorology, Ocean Storms, Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Weather Wisdom
Tagged Florida, Meteorology, Storm Surge, Tides, Weather Wisdom
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Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed probability graphic
In addition to the familiar National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) hurricane track forecast with it’s iconic cone, the NHC also produces a wind speed probabilities graphic. Continue reading
2020 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook issued by Colorado State University
The Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University has issued its “Extended Range Forecast for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season. The outlook anticipates that the 2020 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. The report points to the current … Continue reading
Posted in Tropical Cyclones
Tagged Forecast, Hurricane, North Atlantic, Ocean Weather, Tropical Cyclone
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Hurricane Storm Surges in Tampa Bay
The highest storm surges in Tampa Bay are usually associated with hurricanes, with the three highest tides occurring during Cat 3 storms in 1848, 1921 and 1985. Hurricane Elena in late August of 1985 caused the highest storm surge recorded … Continue reading
Posted in Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclones, Weather History, Weather Wisdom
Tagged Climate, Climate Change, Hurricane, Storm, Tides, Weather Wisdom
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Two Major North Atlantic Hurricane-force Storms Expected
Two major hurricane-force storm lows are forecast to develop and move across the North Atlantic during the next 72 hours producing winds up to 80 knots and significant wave heights to 17 meters (over 55 feet)! Continue reading
Posted in Ocean Storms
Tagged Hurricane Force, North Atlantic, Ocean Weather, Storm, Wave height
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Hurricane-Force Storm expected over Gulf of Alaska
A rapidly deepening storm low is forecast over the east-central North Pacific over the next 48 hours Continue reading
Hurricane-Force Storm NW of Ireland
An intense winter storm over the eastern North Atlantic northwest of Ireland has been producing hurricane-force winds with significant wave heights to 16 meters (52 feet) west of Ireland.
Capsizing and Sinking of Barge Dredge200 and Loss of Workboat R.E. Pierson 2 Pushed by Tugboat Big Jake
The National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) has determined that the probable cause of the capsizing and sinking of the Dredge200 and the R.E. Pierson 2 in December 2, 2018 was the decision by the tow captain and owner to attempt … Continue reading
Posted in Marine casualty, Weather History
Tagged Marine Casualty, US East Coast, Weather Routing
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