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Author Archives: Fred Pickhardt
Case Study: Marine Weather Reconstruction, Arabian Sea
I was asked to review a marine weather analysis report of conditions in the northern Arabian Sea, east of Socotra Island during July of 2008 that was presented by a weather consulting company on behalf of cargo interests. Continue reading
Posted in Climatology, Marine casualty, Weather Wisdom
Tagged Arabian Sea, Case Study, Climate, Ocean Weather, Rough Weather, Wave height, Weather Wisdom
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Ship and Yacht Weather Routing Services
Ocean weather routing (Optimum ship routing) provides for a “best route” for ocean transits based on the existing weather forecasts, ship characteristics, ocean currents and special cargo requirements. Continue reading
Florida West Coast Hurricanes
September and October are the two months when the Florida West Coast is most at risk of encountering a landfalling hurricane. Continue reading
Posted in Climatology, Tropical Cyclones, Weather Wisdom
Tagged Florida, Gulf of Mexico, Hurricane, Weather Wisdom
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Gulf of Tehuantepec Gales
The onset of winter brings frequent cold outbreaks across the central and eastern US that can often result in sudden gale to storm force winds over the Gulf of Tehuantepec. The northerly winds that funnel through gaps in the Sierra Madre Mountains and spill out over the Gulf of Tehuantepec and out over the eastern North Pacific. Continue reading
Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity?
Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity and can these influences be detected? This question is important given the high risk to populations along coastal regions. This question was tackled in a recent assessment published in The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Continue reading
Posted in Climate Change, Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclones
Tagged Climate Change, Hurricane, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclone
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Tampa Bay Hurricane Storm Surge Scenarios
While no storm scenario is a good one for the Tampa Bay area, the worst case is when the hurricane center is located north of the Tampa Bay entrance such that the maximum winds associated with the eye wall occur at the mouth of the bay with storms making landfall farther north result in lower surges. Continue reading
What is a Storm Surge?
Storm Surge is the abnormal sea level elevations (or depressions) caused by winds and atmospheric pressure. The components are: 1. Coastal set up (down) by the along shore wind stress. In deep water, the Earth’s rotation causes a water to … Continue reading
Posted in Meteorology, Ocean Storms, Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Weather Wisdom
Tagged Florida, Meteorology, Storm Surge, Tides, Weather Wisdom
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Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed probability graphic
In addition to the familiar National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) hurricane track forecast with it’s iconic cone, the NHC also produces a wind speed probabilities graphic. Continue reading
2020 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook issued by Colorado State University
The Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University has issued its “Extended Range Forecast for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season. The outlook anticipates that the 2020 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. The report points to the current … Continue reading
Posted in Tropical Cyclones
Tagged Forecast, Hurricane, North Atlantic, Ocean Weather, Tropical Cyclone
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Hurricane Storm Surges in Tampa Bay
The highest storm surges in Tampa Bay are usually associated with hurricanes, with the three highest tides occurring during Cat 3 storms in 1848, 1921 and 1985. Hurricane Elena in late August of 1985 caused the highest storm surge recorded … Continue reading
Posted in Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclones, Weather History, Weather Wisdom
Tagged Climate, Climate Change, Hurricane, Storm, Tides, Weather Wisdom
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