Author Archives: Fred Pickhardt

About Fred Pickhardt

Fred Pickhardt, Marine Meteorologist I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade. I have extensive experience in marine weather analysis, marine weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic marine weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.

Hurricane Bud Forecast to weaken

Hurricane Bud reached peak intensity around 0600 UTC with a max wind of about 110 knots as it moved towards the northwest at about 5 knots. Hurricane Bud is forecast move in a north-northwestward direction for the next 36 hours … Continue reading

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North Atlantic Cooling will affect the Hurricane Season

The main tropical development area for the North Atlantic continues to cool relative to recent averages suggesting a stronger than normal Bermuda-Azores ridge. When this high pressure ridge is stronger or displaced west, as it appears to be now, tropical storm … Continue reading

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Subtropical Storm Alberto forms

The National Hurricane Center has upgraded the disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean to Subtropical Storm Alberto. The initial intensity has been set at 35 knots with movement towards the north-northeast at 5 knots. Alberto is forecast to slowly deepen reaching … Continue reading

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New Tropical Cyclone forms over Arabian Sea

Tropical Cyclone 02A has formed over the Arabian Sea about 610 nm soth of Masirah Island and was moving towards the NNW at about 7 knots. Max winds were 35 knots, however, conditions favor deepening and is forecast to reach … Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Sagar moving over Gulf of Aden

Tropical Cyclone Sagar was located today over the Gulf of Aden about 181 nm east of Aden, Yeman and was moving towards the west-southwest at 7 knots. Max winds are estimated to be 45 knots with gale force winds extending … Continue reading

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NOAA’s New Marine Forecast Product Improves Weather Forecasts and Safety at Sea

  The following post was published on March 8, 2018 on gCaptain.com By Tom Cuff, Director, NOAA’s Ocean Prediction Center NOAA’s Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) rolled out a new forecast product suite this week to provide mariners with comprehensive weather forecasts every 24 hours … Continue reading

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URGENT “Notice to Mariners” – Changes to NOAA marine products effective March 7th, 2018

By Lee Chesneau Lee is a senior marine meteorologist, lecturer, & a graduate from the University of Wisconsin (Madison).   Lee has had a distinguished career with NOAA’s National Weather Service (NWS), NOAA Satellite Service (NESDIS), U.S. Navy Ship Routing Officer … Continue reading

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High Wind and Wave Events Crossing the Gulf Stream

Crossing the Gulf Stream where ocean currents can exceed 2 knots takes some skill and if you try in under certain weather conditions, could be dangerous for any size vessel.  High wind and wave events can occur under certain conditions … Continue reading

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Second Major Storm in a Week to Affect Atlantic Shipping

A rapidly deepening major storm low is forecast to move southeastward from just south of Newfoundland Saturday to west-northwest of the Azores over the next 48 hours.  Winds are forecast to increase to 50-65 knots with seas building to 13 … Continue reading

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North Atlantic Hurricane-Force Storm Affecting Main Shipping Lanes

An intense hurricane-force storm low over the central North Atlantic was producing significant wave heights of an incredible 19 meters (62 feet) today, according to the National Weather Service Ocean Prediction Center. After dumping some moderate to heavy snow in … Continue reading

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