Category Archives: Tropical Cyclones

Hurricane Bud Forecast to weaken

Hurricane Bud reached peak intensity around 0600 UTC with a max wind of about 110 knots as it moved towards the northwest at about 5 knots. Hurricane Bud is forecast move in a north-northwestward direction for the next 36 hours … Continue reading

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North Atlantic Cooling will affect the Hurricane Season

The main tropical development area for the North Atlantic continues to cool relative to recent averages suggesting a stronger than normal Bermuda-Azores ridge. When this high pressure ridge is stronger or displaced west, as it appears to be now, tropical storm … Continue reading

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Subtropical Storm Alberto forms

The National Hurricane Center has upgraded the disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean to Subtropical Storm Alberto. The initial intensity has been set at 35 knots with movement towards the north-northeast at 5 knots. Alberto is forecast to slowly deepen reaching … Continue reading

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New Tropical Cyclone forms over Arabian Sea

Tropical Cyclone 02A has formed over the Arabian Sea about 610 nm soth of Masirah Island and was moving towards the NNW at about 7 knots. Max winds were 35 knots, however, conditions favor deepening and is forecast to reach … Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Sagar moving over Gulf of Aden

Tropical Cyclone Sagar was located today over the Gulf of Aden about 181 nm east of Aden, Yeman and was moving towards the west-southwest at 7 knots. Max winds are estimated to be 45 knots with gale force winds extending … Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Cebile near peak intensity

Tropical Cyclone Cebile located about 583 NM S-SE of Diego Garcia in the southern Indian Ocean is packing winds to 115 knots with max significant wave heights to 34 feet (10.4 meters). Hurricane force winds extend outward 50 NM to … Continue reading

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Super Typhoon Lan approaching Japan

Super Typhoon Lan at 1200 UTC 21 October was center about 307 NM east-southeast of Kadena Air Force Base on Okinawa, Japan and was moving N-NE at 16 knots with max winds up to 130 knots.  Lan has a large … Continue reading

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Super Typhoon possible over western Pacific

Tropical Storm Lan over the western North Pacific about 186 NM northwest of Kyangel was moving slowly towards the northeast with max winds of 55 knots.  Wind shear is low, ocean temperatures are very warm at 30 C to 31 … Continue reading

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Hurricane Nate Saturday Update

Hurricane Nate continues to intensify over the warm Gulf of Mexico as it moves rapidly toward the north-northwest at 23 knots (26 mph). Currently max winds are 80 knots (90 mph)but conditions appear favorable for Nate to continue strengthening for … Continue reading

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Tropical Storm Nate Upate

Tropical Storm Nate is poorly organized with max winds of about 45 knots (50 mph) located 50 nm from the center and was moving just west of north at 18 knots. Nate is expected to move quickly north-northwestward for the … Continue reading

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