Category Archives: Tropical Cyclones

Two Typhoons currently active over Western North Pacific

Typhoon  Lekima, located about 275 nm SSW of Kaldena AB was moving NW at 7 knots with max winds to 110 knots  and significant wave heights to 39 feet.  Conditions favor some additional strengthening and Lekima could reach max winds … Continue reading

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Reduced Risk for Atlantic Tropical Development through mid August

The Azores-Bermuda high pressure ridge will be displaced southward of it’s normal position over the next 5-6 days resulting in higher than normal pressures over the main hurricane development area and the Caribbean reducing the risk for tropical cyclone development … Continue reading

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TS Lekima forms over western North Pacific

TS Lekima has formed over the western North Pacific and currently is located about 479 NM SSE of Kadena AB in Japan and was moving NNW at 6 knots. Max winds are about 35 knots with a max significant wave … Continue reading

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Major Hurricane Florence Update

Major Hurricane Florence currently with max winds about 120 knots was moving west at 11 knots.  A building ridge to the north is forecast to steer Florence WNW then NW during the next 48-72 hours with an increase in forward … Continue reading

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Hurricane Florence now Cat 4

  Major Hurricane Florence continues to develop with max winds now at 115 knots (Cat 4). Florence is moving in an area where wind shear is forecast to increase during the next 48 hours so Florence is expected to weaken … Continue reading

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Hurricane Lane threatens Hawaiian Islands

Hurricane Lane over the central North Pacific has max winds of 125 knots and was moving northwestward towards the Hawaiian Islands and is forecast to turn more towards the north during the next 24-36 hours.  In 48-72 hours track guidance … Continue reading

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Typhoon Soulik to impact South Korea

Typhoon Soulik over the western North Pacific was located about 192 nm WSW of Sasebo,Japan and was moving towards the NW at 7 knots.  Max winds currently estimated near 85 knots with hurricane force winds extending outward about 30 nm … Continue reading

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Typhoon Cimaron bears down on Japan

Typhoon Cimaron over the western North Pacific was located about 245 nm WMW of Iwo To and was moving northwest at 19 knots.  Currently, max winds are estimated at about 100 knots with the hurricane force winds concentrated north and … Continue reading

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Predictability of Atlantic hurricanes

By Judith Curry Cayman Financial Review  The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season was remarkable, including five landfalls of Category 5 storms in the Caribbean Basin, and three Category 4 strikes on the U.S. coastline. The 2017 landfalls cost hundreds of lives … Continue reading

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Typhoon Jongdari to hit Japan

Typhoon Jongdari located about 239 nm SE of Yokosuka, Japan is moving N-NW at 23 knots with max winds of 85 knots and max significant wave heights estimated at 40 ft. Forecast indicate that Jongdari will turn northwest then west … Continue reading

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