Tag Archives: Caribbean Sea

La Niña and the Azores-Bermuda Ridge: Impact on the 2024 Hurricane Season

Currently, El Niño is weakening rapidly, and meteorologists anticipate the development of a La Niña event by the main 2024 hurricane season. La Niña is characterized by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. Just how will this transition affect the Atlantic hurricane environment? Continue reading

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Hurricane Tammy passing near Guadeloupe

Hurricane Tammy is located just ESE of Guadeloupe but remains a small storm with max winds of 75 kts and radius of hurricane force winds extending out from the center only 10-20 nm. Continue reading

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Hurricane Tammy approaching Leeward Islands

Hurricane Tammy has become better organized with max winds now at 65 kts as it moves WNW at 6 kts with max waves estimated to 7.5 meters (25 feet). Continue reading

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Tropical Storm Philippe Strengthens Slightly, Turns Westward

Tropical Storm Philippe has strengthened slightly to 45 kt max winds as it moves west at 8 kts. The intensity forecast is somewhat uncertain so it is possible Philippe could maintain its tropical cyclone status as it reaches the northern Leeward Islands. Continue reading

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Tropical Storm Philippe Weakens

Tropical Storm Philippe continues to struggle with strong west-southwesterly wind shear and currently has max winds of 40 kts.            The  low-level center is completely exposed and deep convection remains well to the east of the … Continue reading

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How’s the Weather Cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  There is a low (about 1%) risk for encountering gale forces 8-9 (34-47 knots) over the central Caribbean north of the Columbian coast during July.  Continue reading

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Tropical Storm Bonnie forms over Southwestern Caribbean

The disturbance that has been tracking across the southern Caribbean Sea has intensified into Tropical Storm Bonnie based on an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter finding a well-defined circulation center located about 100 n mi east of the Nicaragua coast. … Continue reading

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Two nearing Caribbean

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two continues to produce vigorous deep convection and also exhibits some banding features, however, reports from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that there is no well-defined center of circulation.  Continue reading

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How’s the Weather cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  Continue reading

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2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook

The 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins on June 1st and ends on November 30th. During the most recent 30-year average (1991-2020) there has been, on average, about 14-15 named tropical cyclones.  Of these, about 7-8 become hurricanes and 3-4 become major hurricanes.  Continue reading

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