Tag Archives: North Atlantic

Possible Subtropical Storm forming within larger North Atlantic Gale

Showers associated with a low pressure system located several hundred miles west of the westernmost Azores continue to show signs of organization. If the current organization of shower activity persists, advisories will likely be initiated on a tropical or subtropical storm later today … Continue reading

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North Atlantic Hurricane Force Wind Warning

North Atlantic Hurricane Force Wind Warning A deepening 976 mb  low over the west-central North Atlantic is moving NE at 10 knots with winds of 50-70 knots and seas to 29 feet (about 9 meters)  within 180 NM west of … Continue reading

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Pablo now a hurricane over the eastern North Atlantic

Pablo is now a hurricane over the eastern North Atlantic with max winds of 65 knots even though it is moving over relatively cool ocean waters.  Pablo is moving N-NE at 28 knots over even colder ocean water so it … Continue reading

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Tropical Storm Pablo forms southwest of Azores

A new tropical cyclone has formed within a larger extratropical cyclone in the northeastern Atlantic. Pablo is a very small-scale tropical cyclone, but satellite data clearly show a well-defined but small circulation with 40-kt winds embedded within the larger low. … Continue reading

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Reduced Risk for Atlantic Tropical Development through mid August

The Azores-Bermuda high pressure ridge will be displaced southward of it’s normal position over the next 5-6 days resulting in higher than normal pressures over the main hurricane development area and the Caribbean reducing the risk for tropical cyclone development … Continue reading

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Major Hurricane Florence Update

Major Hurricane Florence currently with max winds about 120 knots was moving west at 11 knots.  A building ridge to the north is forecast to steer Florence WNW then NW during the next 48-72 hours with an increase in forward … Continue reading

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Hurricane Florence now Cat 4

  Major Hurricane Florence continues to develop with max winds now at 115 knots (Cat 4). Florence is moving in an area where wind shear is forecast to increase during the next 48 hours so Florence is expected to weaken … Continue reading

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Predictability of Atlantic hurricanes

By Judith Curry Cayman Financial Review  The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season was remarkable, including five landfalls of Category 5 storms in the Caribbean Basin, and three Category 4 strikes on the U.S. coastline. The 2017 landfalls cost hundreds of lives … Continue reading

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TS Chris nears Hurricane Strength off US East Coast

TS Chris continues to strengthen off the US East Coast with max winds at 60 knots is close to reaching hurricane strength. Chris is nearly stationary but is forecast to begin moving towards the northeast in about 36 hours.   Chris … Continue reading

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Update: Beryl weakens

Tropical Storm Beryl has weakened since yesterday and now has max winds of only 40 knots. Beryl is accelerating and now moving towards the WNW at 16 knots and continues to move into an area of increasing vertical wind shear … Continue reading

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