Tag Archives: Tropical Cyclone

Hurricane Florence now Cat 4

  Major Hurricane Florence continues to develop with max winds now at 115 knots (Cat 4). Florence is moving in an area where wind shear is forecast to increase during the next 48 hours so Florence is expected to weaken … Continue reading

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Hurricane Lane threatens Hawaiian Islands

Hurricane Lane over the central North Pacific has max winds of 125 knots and was moving northwestward towards the Hawaiian Islands and is forecast to turn more towards the north during the next 24-36 hours.  In 48-72 hours track guidance … Continue reading

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Typhoon Soulik to impact South Korea

Typhoon Soulik over the western North Pacific was located about 192 nm WSW of Sasebo,Japan and was moving towards the NW at 7 knots.  Max winds currently estimated near 85 knots with hurricane force winds extending outward about 30 nm … Continue reading

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Typhoon Cimaron bears down on Japan

Typhoon Cimaron over the western North Pacific was located about 245 nm WMW of Iwo To and was moving northwest at 19 knots.  Currently, max winds are estimated at about 100 knots with the hurricane force winds concentrated north and … Continue reading

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Predictability of Atlantic hurricanes

By Judith Curry Cayman Financial Review  The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season was remarkable, including five landfalls of Category 5 storms in the Caribbean Basin, and three Category 4 strikes on the U.S. coastline. The 2017 landfalls cost hundreds of lives … Continue reading

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Typhoon Threat to Honshu Japan

A developing Tropical Depression (15W) located about 376 nm southwest of Iwo To, Japan was moving northward at 9 knots with max winds currently about 30 knots but likey close to tropical storm strength. Slow development is anticipated for the … Continue reading

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Tropical Storm Prapiroon Update

Tropical Storm Prapiroon, located about 84 NM southwest of Kadena Air Base in Okinawa was nearing typhoon strength with max winds of 60 knots.  Prapiroon was moving N-NW at 11 knots but is forecast to turn more towards the north … Continue reading

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Hurricane Bud Forecast to weaken

Hurricane Bud reached peak intensity around 0600 UTC with a max wind of about 110 knots as it moved towards the northwest at about 5 knots. Hurricane Bud is forecast move in a north-northwestward direction for the next 36 hours … Continue reading

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North Atlantic Cooling will affect the Hurricane Season

The main tropical development area for the North Atlantic continues to cool relative to recent averages suggesting a stronger than normal Bermuda-Azores ridge. When this high pressure ridge is stronger or displaced west, as it appears to be now, tropical storm … Continue reading

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Subtropical Storm Alberto forms

The National Hurricane Center has upgraded the disturbance over the northwestern Caribbean to Subtropical Storm Alberto. The initial intensity has been set at 35 knots with movement towards the north-northeast at 5 knots. Alberto is forecast to slowly deepen reaching … Continue reading

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