Tag Archives: Tropical Cyclone

What is the weather like cruising the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico during August?

The weather during August is a very warm in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico and this is also the month when tropical cyclones become active. Gale force winds are rare, however,  but can occur in the vicinity of tropical storms and hurricanes.  Continue reading

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Elsa less than forecast for Tampa Bay

As Tropical Storm Elsa was moving north off the west coast of Florida on July 6th, the National Hurricane Center in Miami upgraded Elsa to a hurricane at 1:45pm on the 6th based on an Air Force Recon report that … Continue reading

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2021 North Atlantic Hurricane forecasts

Each spring there are numerous government and private organizations that undertake the task of predicting the North Atlantic Hurricane season.  This year, the 2021 North Atlantic hurricane forecasts are calling for another above-normal hurricane season with between 12 and 20 … Continue reading

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Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity?

Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity and can these influences be detected?  This question is important given the high risk to populations along coastal regions. This question was tackled in a recent assessment published in The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed probability graphic

In addition to the familiar National Hurricane Center’s (NHC) hurricane track forecast with it’s iconic cone, the NHC also produces a wind speed probabilities graphic. Continue reading

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2020 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook issued by Colorado State University

The Department of Atmospheric Science Colorado State University has issued its “Extended Range Forecast for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season.   The outlook anticipates that the 2020 Atlantic basin hurricane season will have above-normal activity. The report points to the current … Continue reading

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Typhoon Forecast to impact Philippines on Christmas

Tropical Storm Phanfone over the western North Pacific east of the Philippines is tracking westward at 14 knots with max winds about 55 knots. Conditions favor additional strengthening with max winds reaching near 70 knots within the next 12 hours … Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Belna heading for Madagascar

Tropical Cyclone Belna over the South Indian Ocean NNE of Europa Island has been moving SSW at 5 knots with max winds currently estimated at 90 knots.  Belna is expected to make landfall along the west coast of Madagascar thenl … Continue reading

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Two Tropical Cyclones developing over the South Indian Ocean

First Tropical Cyclone Tropical Cyclone (02S) has formed over the South Indian Ocean NNW of St Denis, Reunion and is moving WSW at about 4 knots with max winds of 40 knots. This system is moving through an area of … Continue reading

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Typhoon Kammuri to impact Philippines

Typhoon Kammuri over the western North Pacific east of the Philippines is moving westward at 9 knots with max winds of 70 knots. Environmental conditions are favorable for further intensification and Kammuri is expected to reach near 100 knots prior … Continue reading

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