Tag Archives: Climate

2024 Hurricane Risk for Tampa Bay Update

On average, a tropical storm will pass within 50 miles of Tampa Bay about once every other year, while hurricanes pass within 50 miles about once every 4 years and major hurricanes, about once every decade. Direct major hurricane hits on Tampa Bay are rare, with only 2 ever recorded; a Cat 4 storm in 1848 and a Cat 3 storm in 1921.  Continue reading

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Are Atlantic East Coast Major Hurricanes Increasing due to Greenhouse Gas Emissions?

According to a recent article in Nature.com  rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones and max wind speeds have significantly increased since 2001 along the US East Coast due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions which have warmed the planet and oceans.  Continue reading

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Why is it so warm in the North Atlantic?

The overall recent warming of the North Atlantic, particularly in the northeastern sector, may be in large part a combination of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) being in its warm phase which raises the base SST to any additional warming added from the recent reduced trade winds in the tropics. Continue reading

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How’s the Weather Cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  There is a low (about 1%) risk for encountering gale forces 8-9 (34-47 knots) over the central Caribbean north of the Columbian coast during July.  Continue reading

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How’s the Weather Cruising the North Atlantic during July?

During the month of July, the Azores to Bermuda High dominates the North Atlantic weather extending from the North Sea to the Gulf of Mexico with a mean center near 35N/35W.    Storm tracks have shifted north of 50 North latitude, except for one primary track from off the Carolina Coast northeastward towards the Denmark Strait.  Continue reading

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How’s the Weather cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  Continue reading

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What to expect transiting the Indian Ocean during June

A ridge of high pressure normally extends from South Africa eastward to the west coast of Australia, mainly between 25-30 south latitudes. Southward of about 35 south latitude, westerly winds prevail averaging forces 5-6 (17-27 knots) with significant wave heights generally 2-3 meters. Continue reading

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What’s the weather like cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during June?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month except force 5 (17-21 knots) over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back more into the northeast and diminish to mostly forces 3-4 (7-16 knots). Over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be more from the east to east-southeast force 4 (11-16 knots). Continue reading

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What is the Marine Weather like cruising the Caribbean during January?

What is the marine weather like cruising the Caribbean Sea during January? Continue reading

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What is the weather like cruising the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico during August?

The weather during August is a very warm in the Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico and this is also the month when tropical cyclones become active. Gale force winds are rare, however,  but can occur in the vicinity of tropical storms and hurricanes.  Continue reading

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