{"id":1323,"date":"2017-06-11T17:49:26","date_gmt":"2017-06-11T22:49:26","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/?p=1323"},"modified":"2018-12-28T17:29:45","modified_gmt":"2018-12-28T22:29:45","slug":"what-is-the-risk-for-encountering-a-tropical-storm-or-hurricane-during-your-caribbean-cruise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/2017\/06\/11\/what-is-the-risk-for-encountering-a-tropical-storm-or-hurricane-during-your-caribbean-cruise\/","title":{"rendered":"What is the risk of encountering a tropical storm or hurricane during your Caribbean cruise?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1332\" style=\"width: 586px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-tracks-all-1.png\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1332\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1332\" src=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-tracks-all-1.png\" alt=\"All Tropical Cyclone Tracks \" width=\"576\" height=\"398\" srcset=\"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-tracks-all-1.png 576w, https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-tracks-all-1-300x207.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 576px) 100vw, 576px\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1332\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">All Tropical Cyclone Tracks<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Tropical cyclones are storms that originate over tropical and subtropical waters during the summer and fall seasons and are classified as follows:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Tropical Depression:<\/strong>A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 38 mph (33 knots) or less.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Tropical Storm:<\/strong>A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph (34 to 63 knots).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Hurricane:<\/strong>A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph (64 knots) or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Major Hurricane:<\/strong>A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 111 mph (96 knots) or higher, corresponding to a Category 3, 4 or 5 on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The official hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin (the Atlantic Ocean, the Caribbean Sea, and the Gulf of Mexico) is from 1 June to 30 November. \u00a0As seen in the graph below, the peak of the season is from mid-August to late October, however, deadly hurricanes can occur anytime in the hurricane season.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1344\" style=\"width: 510px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-frequency-e1497221441847.gif\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1344\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1344\" src=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-frequency-e1497221441847.gif\" alt=\"Number of storms per 100 years\" width=\"500\" height=\"328\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1344\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Number of storms per 100 years<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Tropical cyclones have occurred during every month, however, the vast majority of them occur between June 1<sup>st<\/sup> and November 30<sup>th<\/sup>.\u00a0 Below are monthly charts showing the most likely areas and tracks for tropical cyclones. These figures only depict \u201caverage conditions\u201d and\u00a0<strong>Hurricanes can originate in different locations and travel much different paths from the average.<\/strong><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1329\" style=\"width: 460px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-june.gif\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1329\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1329\" src=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-june.gif\" alt=\"Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during June\" width=\"450\" height=\"227\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1329\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during June<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1330\" style=\"width: 460px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-july.gif\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1330\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1330\" src=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-july.gif\" alt=\"Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during July\" width=\"450\" height=\"227\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1330\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during July<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1334\" style=\"width: 460px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-aug.gif\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1334\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1334\" src=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-aug.gif\" alt=\"Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during August.\" width=\"450\" height=\"227\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1334\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during August.<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1338\" style=\"width: 460px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-sep.gif\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1338\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1338\" src=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-sep.gif\" alt=\"Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during September\" width=\"450\" height=\"227\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1338\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during September<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1340\" style=\"width: 460px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-oct.gif\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1340\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1340\" src=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-oct.gif\" alt=\"Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during October\" width=\"450\" height=\"227\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1340\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during October<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1341\" style=\"width: 460px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-nov.gif\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1341\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1341\" src=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/06\/hurricane-climo-nov.gif\" alt=\"Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during November\" width=\"450\" height=\"227\" \/><\/a><p id=\"caption-attachment-1341\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Most likely tropical cyclone tracks during November<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The risk for a tropical cyclone moving through a particular 5X5 degree square of latitude and longitude during September (the peak of the season) ranges from about 25% to about 45% across the Gulf of Mexico, Southwestern North Atlantic and Caribbean Sea. This means that the risk for being near a tropical cyclone at the height of the hurricane season is less than 2% for any given day.<\/p>\n<p>Cruise ships today are very hi-tech and are equipped with the latest communications and navigation systems and often also employ a professional <a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/benefits_of_optimum_ship_routing\">weather routing service<\/a>. If a tropical storm or hurricane is moving through or forecast to move through their area of operations, they will reroute the ship to avoid the storm or direct the vessel to a different port of call.\u00a0 This doesn\u2019t mean that you will not experience some rough weather, however<strong>.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>During the summer and early fall, the risk of encountering rough seas (8 feet or more) is generally low (10 percent or less). \u00a0This does not mean you won\u2019t encounter some rough weather if a cruise ship navigates around a particular storm. During the winter months, however, wind conditions tend to be higher so it can be a bit rougher. The risk for rough seas (8ft or higher) increases in winter up to 40 percent. \u00a0Fortunately, modern cruise ships use stabilizers to minimize the rocking and rolling motion of the vessel greatly diminishing the chances of passengers being adversely affected.<\/p>\n<h2>Useful Links<\/h2>\n<h2>NOAA National Hurricane Center current Tropical Activity\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/\">http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/<\/a><br \/>\nTropical Cyclone Climatology <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/climo\/\">http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/climo\/<\/a><br \/>\nSaffir-Simpson Hurricane wind scale\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/aboutsshws.php\">http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/aboutsshws.php<\/a><br \/>\nTropical Cylclone names\u00a0 <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/aboutnames.shtml\">http:\/\/www.nhc.noaa.gov\/aboutnames.shtml<\/a><\/h2>\n<h2>Fred Pickhardt<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/\">Ocean Weather Services<\/a><\/h2>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; &nbsp; Tropical cyclones are storms that originate over tropical and subtropical waters during the summer and fall seasons and are classified as follows: Tropical Depression:A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/2017\/06\/11\/what-is-the-risk-for-encountering-a-tropical-storm-or-hurricane-during-your-caribbean-cruise\/\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[73,85,4,3,10,57,102],"tags":[43,41,18,27,9,23,14],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1323"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1323"}],"version-history":[{"count":27,"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1323\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1360,"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1323\/revisions\/1360"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1323"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1323"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/oceanweatherservices.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1323"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}