Central Pacific hurricane force storm forecast

Posted on January 11, 2016 by Fred Pickhardt
NOAA OPC 500 MB forecast 12Z 13 Jan 2016

NOAA OPC 500 MB forecast 12Z 13 Jan 2016

A strong 500MB jet lies west to east across the North Pacific south of 40N latitude and will cause a hurricane force storm to develop over the central North Pacific shipping lanes over the next 2-3 days. Wave heights could build to 15 meters (almost 50 feet)!

NOAA OPC Surface Forecast 12Z 13 Jan 2016

 

 

NOAA OPC Wind Wave Forecast

NOAA OPC Wind and Wave forecast for 12Z 14 Jan 2016 shows a large area of Storm force winds (outlined in yellow) with a very large area of hurricane force winds (Fuschia.  Winds forecast to 90 knots with seas to 16 meters!

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Hurricane Force Storm forecast over Southwestern North Atlantic

Posted on January 9, 2016 by Fred Pickhardt

NOAA OPC Surface Forecast 00Z 10 Jan 2015

A developing gale low over the southwestern North Atlantic continues to deepen as it moves east and southeast with winds 30-45 knots within 180 NM south of the center.  As the system moves southeastward winds are forecast to reach 50-65 knots and seas to 10.5 meters (near 35 feet) over the next 18-24 hours within 150 NM west of the center.

 

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SW North Atlantic storm could acquire subtropical characteristics

Posted on January 7, 2016 by Fred Pickhardt

NOAA Satellite Photo via NHC

A deep low over the southwestern North Atlantic is producing winds of 40-55 knots within 90 NM west of the center.  As this low moves east and northeast conditions may become a bit more favorable for this system to acquire subtropical characteristics and the National Hurricane Center gives it a 30% probability to become a subtropical storm during the next 5 days.

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North Central North Atlantic Storm Brewing

Posted on January 5, 2016 by Fred Pickhardt

NOAA OPC 12Z 05 Jan 2016 Surface Analysis

A complex area of low pressure over the Labrador Sea and Northwestern North Atlantic today will consolidate into an intense 948 mb storm low with winds of 50-65 knots and seas to 12 meters (near 40 ft) south and west of the low center by 12Z on the 7th.

NOAA OPC Surface Forecast 12Z 07 Jan 2016

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Hurricane Force Storm developing Central North Pacific

Posted on January 4, 2016 by Fred Pickhardt

NOAA OPC 48 Hour Surface Forecast 12Z 06 Jan 2016

A developing low over the western North Pacific will deepen rapidly as it moves northeastward reaching hurricane force with winds forecast 55-70 knots and seas building 7-12 meters (24-40 feet) 60-240NM west and south of the center as it nears the Aleutians in 36-48 hours.

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Rough Weather Bay Biscay and Channel Approaches

Posted on January 4, 2016 by Fred Pickhardt

NOAA OPC Surface Analysis 06Z 04 Jan 2016

A storm low moving southeastward across Ireland towards southern England is producing gale to storm force winds and significant wave heights of 8-9 meters (26-30 feet) in the approaches to the English Channel and Bay of Biscay today.

NOAA OPC Wave Height Analysis 12Z 04 Jan 2016

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North Pacific Storm Saturday update

Posted on January 2, 2016 by Fred Pickhardt

NOAA OPC 18Z 02 Jan 2016 Surface Analysis

An intense and dangerous hurricane force storm low continues to move northeastward over the central North Pacific  towards the eastern North Pacific with winds of 50 to 80 knots occurring between 120 and 240 NM south and west of the center.  Forecasts suggest that the system will soon peak and gradually start to slowly weaken over the next 12-24 hours.

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North Pacific Storm Update

Posted on January 1, 2016 by Fred Pickhardt

NOAA OPC Surface Forecast 00 UTC 03 Jan 2016

A rapidly deepening hurricane force storm low over the west-central North Pacific is forecast to produce winds of 55-70 knots with significant wave heights building 10-15 meters (33-50 feet)  within 240-300 NM southwest of the center during the next 24-36 hours. These conditions will cause vessel delays along central North Pacific shipping routes between 35N and 45N latitudes.

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Hurricane Force Storm forecast in west-central North Pacific

Posted on December 31, 2015 by Fred Pickhardt

NOAA NWS OPC 48 hour surface forecast map

A rapidly deepening storm low is forecast over the west-central North Pacific during the next 72 hours producing winds of 55-70 knots and waves 9-14.5 meters (30-48 feet) within 300NM south and southwest of the center.  Max winds and waves are expected along shipping lanes between 35N and 45N latitudes and may cause some shipping delays for westbound traffic.

 

 

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North Atlantic Storm Update

Posted on December 29, 2015 by Fred Pickhardt

NOAA OOC Surface Analysis 12Z 29 Dec 2015

A rapidly deepening storm low this morning over the central North Atlantic will move northward towards Iceland while a second hurricane force storm moves E-NE towards Ireland during the next 24 hours.  Winds of 50 to 65 knots, briefly higher are possible east and southeast of both lows and over the Denmark Strait between Iceland and Greenland. Max significant waves likely to be 11-13 meters (36-43 feet).

GFS forecast via Weatherbell.com

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