
Tropical Cyclone 04A (CHAPALA)
Tropical Cyclone 04A (CHAPALA) at 15Z 31 October was centered about 209NMENE of Socotra Island and was moving westward at about 08 knots with max winds to 115 knots. Currently hurricane force winds extend outward only about 25-30 NM.
Chapala is forecast to weaken as it approaches the coast of Yemen but likely will retain hurricane strength at landfall north of Mukalla about 21Z 02 November.

JTWC Forecast Track
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About Fred Pickhardt
I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade after graduating from State University of New York Maritime College. I have extensive experience in weather analysis, weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.