Category Archives: North Atlantic

2024 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook Update

Posted on April 11, 2024 by Fred Pickhardt

The 2024 Hurricane Season outlook is predicted to be well above normal due to two primary factors: El Nino and warm ocean water. Currently, a weakening El Niño is expected to transition to a La Niña state by late summer or early autumn. This transition should produce low wind shear conditions, favoring tropical cyclone development over the North Atlantic. Continue reading →

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Hurricane Tammy pulls away from the Leeward Islands

Posted on October 22, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Hurricane Tammy is pulling away from the northern Leeward Islands, but a trailing area of heavy rain continues to affect portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands. Continue reading →

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Hurricane Tammy passing near Guadeloupe

Posted on October 21, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Hurricane Tammy is located just ESE of Guadeloupe but remains a small storm with max winds of 75 kts and radius of hurricane force winds extending out from the center only 10-20 nm. Continue reading →

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Hurricane Tammy approaching Leeward Islands

Posted on October 20, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Hurricane Tammy has become better organized with max winds now at 65 kts as it moves WNW at 6 kts with max waves estimated to 7.5 meters (25 feet). Continue reading →

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Are Atlantic East Coast Major Hurricanes Increasing due to Greenhouse Gas Emissions?

Posted on October 20, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

According to a recent article in Nature.com  rapidly intensifying tropical cyclones and max wind speeds have significantly increased since 2001 along the US East Coast due to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions which have warmed the planet and oceans.  Continue reading →

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Tropical Storms Rina & Philippe Update

Posted on September 30, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Tropical Storms Rina and Philippe continue to interact over the North Atlantic.             Tropical Storm Rina Rina continues to weaken with max winds 40 kts due to strong wind shear. Rina is forecast to move … Continue reading →

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Twin Tropical Storms over the North Atlantic

Posted on September 28, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Twin tropical storms are over the central North Atlantic and they are close enough to each other to interact. Continue reading →

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Tropical Storm Philippe Strengthens Slightly, Turns Westward

Posted on September 27, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Tropical Storm Philippe has strengthened slightly to 45 kt max winds as it moves west at 8 kts. The intensity forecast is somewhat uncertain so it is possible Philippe could maintain its tropical cyclone status as it reaches the northern Leeward Islands. Continue reading →

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Tropical Storm Philippe Weakens

Posted on September 26, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Tropical Storm Philippe continues to struggle with strong west-southwesterly wind shear and currently has max winds of 40 kts.            The  low-level center is completely exposed and deep convection remains well to the east of the … Continue reading →

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Tropical Storm Ophelia approaching North Carolina Coast

Posted on September 22, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Tropical Storm Ophelia has strengthened to max winds of 60 knots and is moving north-northwestward (330 degrees) at 10 kt.  Max significant wave heights are estimated near 8.5 meters (28 feet). Continue reading →

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