Category Archives: Weather Wisdom

2024 Hurricane Risk for Tampa Bay Update

On average, a tropical storm will pass within 50 miles of Tampa Bay about once every other year, while hurricanes pass within 50 miles about once every 4 years and major hurricanes, about once every decade. Direct major hurricane hits on Tampa Bay are rare, with only 2 ever recorded; a Cat 4 storm in 1848 and a Cat 3 storm in 1921.  Continue reading

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Top Tropical Cyclone Tracking Sites

Now that the hurricane season is approaching, here are my thoughts on the best tropical  cyclone  tracking sites: Continue reading

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How’s the Weather Cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  There is a low (about 1%) risk for encountering gale forces 8-9 (34-47 knots) over the central Caribbean north of the Columbian coast during July.  Continue reading

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How’s the Weather cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  Continue reading

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What to expect transiting the Indian Ocean during June

A ridge of high pressure normally extends from South Africa eastward to the west coast of Australia, mainly between 25-30 south latitudes. Southward of about 35 south latitude, westerly winds prevail averaging forces 5-6 (17-27 knots) with significant wave heights generally 2-3 meters. Continue reading

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What’s the weather like cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during June?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month except force 5 (17-21 knots) over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back more into the northeast and diminish to mostly forces 3-4 (7-16 knots). Over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be more from the east to east-southeast force 4 (11-16 knots). Continue reading

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What’s the weather like cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during May?

The weather cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during May is excellent with light to moderate winds and low risk for gales. Continue reading

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Sea Level Rise Projections – Reality or Hype?

In recent years there has been much press regarding global warming (climate change) and how this will affect sea level rise, including claims that the oceans could rise up to 10 feet or more by 2100.  Continue reading

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What is the Marine Weather like cruising the Caribbean during January?

What is the marine weather like cruising the Caribbean Sea during January? Continue reading

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The Other Hurricane Season  

Each year there are, on average, about 6 hurricanes in the North Atlantic, 8 in the Eastern North Pacific and 17 Typhoons in the western North Pacific. Few people (outside of Mariners) realize that there is another season of hurricane winds that occurs over both the North Atlantic and the North Pacific Ocean and runs from September to May. These storms do not track through the tropics, but instead are associated with the extratropical cyclones of the mid-latitudes.
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