Category Archives: Tropical Cyclones

Tropical Storm Bonnie forms over Southwestern Caribbean

The disturbance that has been tracking across the southern Caribbean Sea has intensified into Tropical Storm Bonnie based on an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter finding a well-defined circulation center located about 100 n mi east of the Nicaragua coast. … Continue reading

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Potential Tropical Cyclone Two nearing Caribbean

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two continues to produce vigorous deep convection and also exhibits some banding features, however, reports from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that there is no well-defined center of circulation.  Continue reading

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How’s the Weather Cruising the North Atlantic during July?

During the month of July, the Azores to Bermuda High dominates the North Atlantic weather extending from the North Sea to the Gulf of Mexico with a mean center near 35N/35W.    Storm tracks have shifted north of 50 North latitude, except for one primary track from off the Carolina Coast northeastward towards the Denmark Strait.  Continue reading

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How’s the Weather cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  Continue reading

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2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook

The 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins on June 1st and ends on November 30th. During the most recent 30-year average (1991-2020) there has been, on average, about 14-15 named tropical cyclones.  Of these, about 7-8 become hurricanes and 3-4 become major hurricanes.  Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Halima now a Cat 4 Storm

Tropical Cyclone Halima over the South Indian Ocean has intensified into a Category 4 hurricane with max winds of 120 knots Continue reading

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What can we expect for the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Will 2022 bring yet another very active hurricane season or will it be more in-line with the long-term average of 12-13 named storms, 6-7 hurricanes and 2-3 major hurricanes?  Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Gombe to intensify over Mozambique Channel

Gombe will move out over the Mozambique Channel during the next 12-18 hours then favorable conditions will allow for the system to  strengthen fairly rapidly to hurricane force winds prior to landfall over Mozambique Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Vernon Forms over South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Vernon has formed over the South Indian Ocean southwest of Cocos Islands and was moving west-southwest at 8 knots with max winds of 45 knots.  Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Emnati Nears Madagascar East Coast

Tropical Cyclone Emnati, currently located north-northwest of La Réunion Island in the South Indian Ocean and was moving west-southwestward at 6 knots with maximum winds to 100 knots and significant wave heights up to 32 feet (9.8 meters).  Continue reading

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