Monthly Archives: June 2023

Why is it so warm in the North Atlantic?

The overall recent warming of the North Atlantic, particularly in the northeastern sector, may be in large part a combination of the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO) being in its warm phase which raises the base SST to any additional warming added from the recent reduced trade winds in the tropics. Continue reading

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How’s the Weather Cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  There is a low (about 1%) risk for encountering gale forces 8-9 (34-47 knots) over the central Caribbean north of the Columbian coast during July.  Continue reading

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