Category Archives: Sea Level Rise

New NOAA Sea Level Rise Estimate for St Petersburg, Florida 

Posted on February 25, 2022 by Fred Pickhardt

A new Sea Level Rise report from NOAA has been issued to project seal level rise and coastal flood hazards for the United States out to 2150 for 5 sea level scenarios: low, intermediate-low, intermediate, intermediate-high and high. Continue reading →

Posted in Climate Change, Sea Level Rise | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Sea Level Rise Projections – Reality or Hype?

Posted on January 24, 2022 by Fred Pickhardt

In recent years there has been much press regarding global warming (climate change) and how this will affect sea level rise, including claims that the oceans could rise up to 10 feet or more by 2100.  Continue reading →

Posted in Climate Change, Climatology, Sea Level Rise, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity?

Posted on July 11, 2020 by Fred Pickhardt

Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity and can these influences be detected?  This question is important given the high risk to populations along coastal regions. This question was tackled in a recent assessment published in The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Continue reading →

Posted in Climate Change, Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclones | Tagged , , , | Leave a comment

Tampa Bay Hurricane Storm Surge Scenarios

Posted on May 30, 2020 by Fred Pickhardt

While no storm scenario is a good one for the Tampa Bay area, the worst case is when the hurricane center is located north of the Tampa Bay entrance such that the maximum winds associated with the eye wall occur at the mouth of the bay with storms making landfall farther north result in lower surges. Continue reading →

Posted in Climatology, Meteorology, Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclones, Weather History, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

What is a Storm Surge?

Posted on May 25, 2020 by Fred Pickhardt

Storm Surge is the abnormal sea level elevations (or depressions) caused by winds and atmospheric pressure. The components are: 1. Coastal set up (down) by the along shore wind stress.  In deep water, the Earth’s rotation causes a water to … Continue reading →

Posted in Meteorology, Ocean Storms, Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Hurricane Storm Surges in Tampa Bay

Posted on March 29, 2020 by Fred Pickhardt

The highest storm surges in Tampa Bay are usually associated with hurricanes, with the three highest tides occurring during Cat 3 storms in 1848, 1921 and 1985. Hurricane Elena in late August of 1985 caused the highest storm surge recorded … Continue reading →

Posted in Sea Level Rise, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclones, Weather History, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments