Tag Archives: Hurricane

2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook

The 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins on June 1st and ends on November 30th. During the most recent 30-year average (1991-2020) there has been, on average, about 14-15 named tropical cyclones.  Of these, about 7-8 become hurricanes and 3-4 become major hurricanes.  Continue reading

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What’s the weather like cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during June?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month except force 5 (17-21 knots) over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back more into the northeast and diminish to mostly forces 3-4 (7-16 knots). Over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be more from the east to east-southeast force 4 (11-16 knots). Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Halima now a Cat 4 Storm

Tropical Cyclone Halima over the South Indian Ocean has intensified into a Category 4 hurricane with max winds of 120 knots Continue reading

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What can we expect for the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season?

Will 2022 bring yet another very active hurricane season or will it be more in-line with the long-term average of 12-13 named storms, 6-7 hurricanes and 2-3 major hurricanes?  Continue reading

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Tropical Cyclone Vernon Forms over South Indian Ocean

Tropical Cyclone Vernon has formed over the South Indian Ocean southwest of Cocos Islands and was moving west-southwest at 8 knots with max winds of 45 knots.  Continue reading

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The Other Hurricane Season  

Each year there are, on average, about 6 hurricanes in the North Atlantic, 8 in the Eastern North Pacific and 17 Typhoons in the western North Pacific. Few people (outside of Mariners) realize that there is another season of hurricane winds that occurs over both the North Atlantic and the North Pacific Ocean and runs from September to May. These storms do not track through the tropics, but instead are associated with the extratropical cyclones of the mid-latitudes.
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Elsa less than forecast for Tampa Bay

As Tropical Storm Elsa was moving north off the west coast of Florida on July 6th, the National Hurricane Center in Miami upgraded Elsa to a hurricane at 1:45pm on the 6th based on an Air Force Recon report that … Continue reading

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2021 North Atlantic Hurricane forecasts

Each spring there are numerous government and private organizations that undertake the task of predicting the North Atlantic Hurricane season.  This year, the 2021 North Atlantic hurricane forecasts are calling for another above-normal hurricane season with between 12 and 20 … Continue reading

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Florida West Coast Hurricanes 

September and October are the two months when the Florida West Coast is most at risk of encountering a landfalling hurricane.  Continue reading

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Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity?

Does global climate change have an influence on tropical cyclone activity and can these influences be detected?  This question is important given the high risk to populations along coastal regions. This question was tackled in a recent assessment published in The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Continue reading

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