Tag Archives: Hurricane

2024 Hurricane Risk for Tampa Bay Update

On average, a tropical storm will pass within 50 miles of Tampa Bay about once every other year, while hurricanes pass within 50 miles about once every 4 years and major hurricanes, about once every decade. Direct major hurricane hits on Tampa Bay are rare, with only 2 ever recorded; a Cat 4 storm in 1848 and a Cat 3 storm in 1921.  Continue reading

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Top Tropical Cyclone Tracking Sites

Now that the hurricane season is approaching, here are my thoughts on the best tropical  cyclone  tracking sites: Continue reading

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2024 Atlantic Hurricane Outlook Update

The 2024 Hurricane Season outlook is predicted to be well above normal due to two primary factors: El Nino and warm ocean water. Currently, a weakening El Niño is expected to transition to a La Niña state by late summer or early autumn. This transition should produce low wind shear conditions, favoring tropical cyclone development over the North Atlantic. Continue reading

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La Niña and the Azores-Bermuda Ridge: Impact on the 2024 Hurricane Season

Currently, El Niño is weakening rapidly, and meteorologists anticipate the development of a La Niña event by the main 2024 hurricane season. La Niña is characterized by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. Just how will this transition affect the Atlantic hurricane environment? Continue reading

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Catastrophic Cat 5 Otis makes landfall near Acapulco

Major Hurricane Otis continued to strengthen until near the time of landfall in southern Mexico near Acapulco, reaching a catastrophic Category 5 with max wind of 145 kts (165 mph).  Continue reading

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Hurricane Otis nearing Cat 5 Strength

Hurricane Otis is undergoing very rapid development with max winds currently at 125 kts with a min pressure of 941 mb and significant wave heights estimated 12-13 meters (40-43 feet) as it moves NNW at 7 kts. Continue reading

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Tropical Storm Otis continues to Develop south of Acapulco

Tropical Storm Otis continues to become better organized SSE of Acapulco, Mexico as it moves NNW at 7 kts. Max winds now at 60 kts with significant wave heights estimated near 7 meters (23 ft). Continue reading

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Hurricane Tammy pulls away from the Leeward Islands

Hurricane Tammy is pulling away from the northern Leeward Islands, but a trailing area of heavy rain continues to affect portions of the Windward and Leeward Islands. Continue reading

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Hurricane Tammy passing near Guadeloupe

Hurricane Tammy is located just ESE of Guadeloupe but remains a small storm with max winds of 75 kts and radius of hurricane force winds extending out from the center only 10-20 nm. Continue reading

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Major Hurricane Norma Heads Toward Cabo San Lucas

Major Hurricane Norma located south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico is moving NNW at 8 kts with max winds to 105 kts and significant wave heights to 12 meters (39 ft).  Continue reading

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