Tag Archives: Weather Wisdom

2024 Hurricane Risk for Tampa Bay Update

On average, a tropical storm will pass within 50 miles of Tampa Bay about once every other year, while hurricanes pass within 50 miles about once every 4 years and major hurricanes, about once every decade. Direct major hurricane hits on Tampa Bay are rare, with only 2 ever recorded; a Cat 4 storm in 1848 and a Cat 3 storm in 1921.  Continue reading

Posted in Climatology, Hurricane, Hurricane-Force, Ocean Storms, Storm Surge, Tropical Cyclones, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

La Niña and the Azores-Bermuda Ridge: Impact on the 2024 Hurricane Season

Currently, El Niño is weakening rapidly, and meteorologists anticipate the development of a La Niña event by the main 2024 hurricane season. La Niña is characterized by cooler-than-average sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean. Just how will this transition affect the Atlantic hurricane environment? Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

How’s the Weather Cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  There is a low (about 1%) risk for encountering gale forces 8-9 (34-47 knots) over the central Caribbean north of the Columbian coast during July.  Continue reading

Posted in Climatology, Cruise Weather, Tropical Cyclones, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , , , | Leave a comment

Heat Wave in Western Europe tied to Sea Temperatures?

Another heat wave is currently developing over Western Europe and the media are pointing the finger at climate change but more likely are a result of a growing area of negative sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly that has developed over the eastern North Atlantic ocean which has a tendency to enhance undulations in the jet stream.

Continue reading

Posted in Climate Change, Meteorology, North Atlantic | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

How’s the Weather cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during July?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month, except forces 4-5 (11-21 knots) prevail over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back east to northeast and diminish to forces 3-4 (7-16 knots) and over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be from the east forces 3-4 (7-16 knots).  Continue reading

Posted in Climatology, Cruise Weather, Tropical Cyclones, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

What’s the weather like cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during June?

Easterly winds mostly Beaufort force 4 (11-16 knots) prevail this month except force 5 (17-21 knots) over the central Caribbean north of Columbia. Over the southwestern Caribbean the wind will back more into the northeast and diminish to mostly forces 3-4 (7-16 knots). Over the northwestern Caribbean, winds tend to be more from the east to east-southeast force 4 (11-16 knots). Continue reading

Posted in Climatology, Cruise Weather, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

What’s the weather like cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during May?

The weather cruising the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico during May is excellent with light to moderate winds and low risk for gales. Continue reading

Posted in Climatology, Cruise Weather, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , | Leave a comment

Sea Level Rise Projections – Reality or Hype?

In recent years there has been much press regarding global warming (climate change) and how this will affect sea level rise, including claims that the oceans could rise up to 10 feet or more by 2100.  Continue reading

Posted in Climate Change, Climatology, Sea Level Rise, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

The Other Hurricane Season  

Each year there are, on average, about 6 hurricanes in the North Atlantic, 8 in the Eastern North Pacific and 17 Typhoons in the western North Pacific. Few people (outside of Mariners) realize that there is another season of hurricane winds that occurs over both the North Atlantic and the North Pacific Ocean and runs from September to May. These storms do not track through the tropics, but instead are associated with the extratropical cyclones of the mid-latitudes.
Continue reading

Posted in Climatology, Meteorology, NOAA OPC, Ocean Storms, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Case Study: Marine Weather Reconstruction, Arabian Sea

I was asked to review a marine weather analysis report of conditions in the northern Arabian Sea, east of Socotra Island during July of 2008 that was presented by a weather consulting company on behalf of cargo interests. Continue reading

Posted in Climatology, Marine casualty, Weather Wisdom | Tagged , , , , , , | Leave a comment