Tag Archives: Florida

2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook

The 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins on June 1st and ends on November 30th. During the most recent 30-year average (1991-2020) there has been, on average, about 14-15 named tropical cyclones.  Of these, about 7-8 become hurricanes and 3-4 become major hurricanes.  Continue reading

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New NOAA Sea Level Rise Estimate for St Petersburg, Florida 

A new Sea Level Rise report from NOAA has been issued to project seal level rise and coastal flood hazards for the United States out to 2150 for 5 sea level scenarios: low, intermediate-low, intermediate, intermediate-high and high. Continue reading

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Elsa less than forecast for Tampa Bay

As Tropical Storm Elsa was moving north off the west coast of Florida on July 6th, the National Hurricane Center in Miami upgraded Elsa to a hurricane at 1:45pm on the 6th based on an Air Force Recon report that … Continue reading

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Florida West Coast Hurricanes 

September and October are the two months when the Florida West Coast is most at risk of encountering a landfalling hurricane.  Continue reading

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Tampa Bay Hurricane Storm Surge Scenarios

While no storm scenario is a good one for the Tampa Bay area, the worst case is when the hurricane center is located north of the Tampa Bay entrance such that the maximum winds associated with the eye wall occur at the mouth of the bay with storms making landfall farther north result in lower surges. Continue reading

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What is a Storm Surge?

Storm Surge is the abnormal sea level elevations (or depressions) caused by winds and atmospheric pressure. The components are: 1. Coastal set up (down) by the along shore wind stress.  In deep water, the Earth’s rotation causes a water to … Continue reading

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Major Hurricane Irma Update 07 Sept. 0300UTC

Major Hurricane Irma at 0300UTC Sept 7th (11PM EDT Sept. 6th) was centered near 19.4N  66.8W  and was moving towards the west-northwest at 14 knots (16mph) with a minimum central pressure of 916 MB and max sustained winds of 160 … Continue reading

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Tuesday 11pm EDT Hurricane Irma Update

Tuesday 11pm EDT Hurricane Irma Update Major Hurricane Irma located near 17.4N/61.1W was moving towards the west-northwest at 13 knots (15 mph) with a min pressure of 916 MB and max winds to 160 knots (185 mph) and possible gusts … Continue reading

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Hurricane Irma Monday update

Major Hurricane Irma, currently with max winds to 105 knots (120 mph) and a minimum pressure of 944 mb continues to move west-southwestward at about 11 knots. Hurricane force winds extend outward 20-30 NM while gales extend outward 60 NM … Continue reading

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What is the risk of encountering a tropical storm or hurricane during your Caribbean cruise?

                      Tropical cyclones are storms that originate over tropical and subtropical waters during the summer and fall seasons and are classified as follows: Tropical Depression:A tropical cyclone with maximum sustained … Continue reading

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