Tag Archives: Florida

Gulf Low to produce Heavy Rains and Strong Winds

Posted on December 14, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

A low is forecast to form over the south-central Gulf of Mexico Friday night into early Saturday morning, deepening and moving northeast across northern Florida by Saturday night, reaching the coast of Georgia by early Sunday before turning northeast to north across the Mid Atlantic States by Monday. Continue reading →

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Heavy Rains and Gale Winds along Florida Coast

Posted on November 15, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Extremely heavy rainfall rates are possible which may approach or exceed 2 to 3 inches per hour and may produce rainfall totals upwards of 3 to 6 inches with some isolated max amounts approaching 10 inches. Continue reading →

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Record Rainfall in Fort Lauderdale

Posted on May 6, 2023 by Fred Pickhardt

Reord rainfall in Fort Lauderdale. A stationary supercell thunderstorm that centered itself near Fort Lauderdale, Florida produced prolonged periods of 3+ inch hourly rainfalls creating widespread flooding. Continue reading →

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2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook

Posted on May 24, 2022 by Fred Pickhardt

The 2022 North Atlantic Hurricane Season officially begins on June 1st and ends on November 30th. During the most recent 30-year average (1991-2020) there has been, on average, about 14-15 named tropical cyclones.  Of these, about 7-8 become hurricanes and 3-4 become major hurricanes.  Continue reading →

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New NOAA Sea Level Rise Estimate for St Petersburg, Florida 

Posted on February 25, 2022 by Fred Pickhardt

A new Sea Level Rise report from NOAA has been issued to project seal level rise and coastal flood hazards for the United States out to 2150 for 5 sea level scenarios: low, intermediate-low, intermediate, intermediate-high and high. Continue reading →

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Elsa less than forecast for Tampa Bay

Posted on July 20, 2021 by Fred Pickhardt

As Tropical Storm Elsa was moving north off the west coast of Florida on July 6th, the National Hurricane Center in Miami upgraded Elsa to a hurricane at 1:45pm on the 6th based on an Air Force Recon report that … Continue reading →

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Florida West Coast Hurricanes 

Posted on September 12, 2020 by Fred Pickhardt

September and October are the two months when the Florida West Coast is most at risk of encountering a landfalling hurricane.  Continue reading →

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Tampa Bay Hurricane Storm Surge Scenarios

Posted on May 30, 2020 by Fred Pickhardt

While no storm scenario is a good one for the Tampa Bay area, the worst case is when the hurricane center is located north of the Tampa Bay entrance such that the maximum winds associated with the eye wall occur at the mouth of the bay with storms making landfall farther north result in lower surges. Continue reading →

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What is a Storm Surge?

Posted on May 25, 2020 by Fred Pickhardt

Storm Surge is the abnormal sea level elevations (or depressions) caused by winds and atmospheric pressure. The components are: 1. Coastal set up (down) by the along shore wind stress.  In deep water, the Earth’s rotation causes a water to … Continue reading →

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Major Hurricane Irma Update 07 Sept. 0300UTC

Posted on September 6, 2017 by Fred Pickhardt

Major Hurricane Irma at 0300UTC Sept 7th (11PM EDT Sept. 6th) was centered near 19.4N  66.8W  and was moving towards the west-northwest at 14 knots (16mph) with a minimum central pressure of 916 MB and max sustained winds of 160 … Continue reading →

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