Pub. 106
Atlas of Pilot Charts North Atlantic Ocean (including Gulf of Mexico), 2002 Ed.
October is an excellent month to cruise the Caribbean Sea. Generally, winds are light to moderate coming primarily from the east and averaging 7-16 knots with the risk for encountering gale force or higher winds are 1 percent or less. Gales, when they do occur, are associated with hurricanes which can and do occur this month, mostly over the western Caribbean, eastern Gulf of Mexico and the waters east of Florida and near the Bahamas. Overall, the risk for encountering rough seas (over 12 feet) is generally 10 % or less.
During the month of October, the most active area for tropical cyclones is the northwestern Caribbean Sea, the eastern Gulf of Mexico and the waters east of Florida to the Bahamas. In these areas there is a risk of 30-40% of having a tropical cyclone pass over at least once during the month. Over the eastern Caribbean Sea the risk is 15% or less.
Air temperatures remain warm, averaging 27-28 C (80-83 F) while sea temperatures average 28-29 C (82-84 F).
Pilot Chart October for Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea
We are considering a cruise from New York to Bermuda, British Virgin Islands, Antigua, Guadeloupe, St Lucia, St. Vincent and Barbados starting at the end of October 2022 for 16days. What is the hurricane risk at this time as I understand that hurricanes can and do occur in November in the Caribbean?
Thank you.
Jan Freeman
The risk for Atlantic tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic or Caribbean after Oct. 20th is about 1 every 3 years and after Nov 10th, 1 in every 10 years.
We are considering a cruise from Miami, Fl | At Sea | Puerto Plata, Dominican Republic | San Juan, Pr | St Maarten, Netherland Antilles | St Johns Antigua | St Thomas, Vi | Great Stirrup Cay, Bahamas | Miami, Fl in October 2023 for 10 days. What are the hurricane/weather disturbance risks at this time in the Eastern Caribbean? Thank you for your time.
The greatest risk for tropical cyclone activity is west of 75 W longitude and north of 15 N
https://oceanweatherservices.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/october-Pilot-Caribbean-tropical-cyclones.png
We’re going on a cruise October 19th through 28th, our trip is supposed to port in Cozumel Costa, Maya and roatan.
Do you think the weather will be cooperative?
Oh the ship is leaving from Galveston, tx