Potential Tropical Cyclone 16 heading for North Carolina Coast

Satellite Image Potential Tropical Cyclone 16

A deepening Gale low off the US Southeast Coast is moving north at 10 kts with max winds to 45 knots with significant wave heights to 6.5 meters (21 feet). Gale force winds extend out 210-240 nm north of the center and 60 nm to the southwest. Some additional strengthening is possible prior to landfall over eastern North Carolina on Saturday morning, followed by weakening and finally dissipating over Maryland Sunday. The low is currently extratropical, but has some subtropical characteristics.

NOAA Surface Analysis

Tropical storm conditions are expected along portions of the southeastern and mid-Atlantic U.S. coasts within the Tropical Storm Warning area today into Saturday night.

There is a danger of life-threatening storm surge inundation over portions of eastern North Carolina and southeastern Virginia, including Pamlico and Albemarle Sounds, the Neuse and Pamlico Rivers, the lower James River, and the lower Chesapeake Bay, where Storm Surge Warnings are in place. 


Heavy rainfall from this system could produce flash, urban, and small stream flooding impacts across portions of the Mid-Atlantic states from North Carolina to New Jersey through Sunday.

NHC Forecast Track


Latest NOAA NHC Advisory  

Ocean Weather Services

About Fred Pickhardt

I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade after graduating from State University of New York Maritime College. I have extensive experience in weather analysis, weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.
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