TS Hermine

TS Hermine is forecast to move off the coast of NC early Saturday and move slowly over some very warm ocean waters allowing the storm in intensify back to hurricane strength off the coast of Delaware by Monday afternoon or evening.

NHC Official Forecast Track

NHC Official Forecast Track

 

Thereafter Hermine will transition into an extra-tropical low and start to move off towards the northeast.  The various models show a large amount of uncertainty in track and intensity forecasts which could have a significant effect on the forecasts for cities from DC to Boston.

TS Hermine model forecast tracks : source tropicaltidbits.com

TS Hermine model forecast tracks : source tropicaltidbits.com

 

Currently the risk of encountering tropical storm force winds are:

DC: 35-40%
Phly: 55-60%
NYC: near 60%
Boston: 35-40%

NHC Probability of encountering tropical storm force winds

NHC Probability of encountering tropical storm force winds

About Fred Pickhardt

I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade after graduating from State University of New York Maritime College. I have extensive experience in weather analysis, weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.
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