Intense Tropical Cyclone Batsirai headed for Madagascar

Tropical Cyclone Batsirai Satellite Image via JTWC

Tropical Cyclone Batsirai over the South Indian Ocean is moving west  at 4 knots with max winds estimated to 115 knots and significant wave heights to 16 meters (52 feet). Batsirai is an intense, highly symmetrical tropical cyclone with a 30 nm wide eye.

Batsirai is moving through a favorable environment with warm SST and low wind shear and is forecast to peak at about 120 knots prior to landfall along the east coast of Madagascar about 1500 UTV/5th.

Tropical Cyclone Batsirai Forecast Track via JTWC

 

                                                                   

Batsirai will weaken rapidly as it crosses Madagascar, exiting over the Mozambique Channel as a tropical storm but only a modest re-intensification is expected as it turns southward over colder water. 

About Fred Pickhardt

I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade after graduating from State University of New York Maritime College. I have extensive experience in weather analysis, weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.
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