Tropical Cyclone Emnati to threaten Madagascar

Tropical Cyclone Emnati Meteosat-8 IR image

Tropical Cyclone Emnati over the South Indian Ocean northeast of Mauritius currently with max winds of about 55 knots is moving west at 16 knots.

Emnati is forecast to continue to deepen, reaching hurricane-force in about 12 hours.  Thereafter, Emnati will turn more towards the west-southwest reaching max winds of 90-100 knots in about 48 hours then making landfall over central Madagascar about 1800 UTC on the 22nd.  Some weakening is expected prior to landfall. 

JTWC Forecast Track

About Fred Pickhardt

I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade after graduating from State University of New York Maritime College. I have extensive experience in weather analysis, weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.
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One Response to Tropical Cyclone Emnati to threaten Madagascar

  1. Krisnah Goojha says:

    Emnati will be a threat to Madagascar. As far as Mauritius is concerned, I don’t think that Emnati will be a major threat if, after the south-west direction, it will take the west-south-west direction. Accordingly, it will surely bring some rains to Mauritius but no gusts up to 100 km/h. Just hope.

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