932 MB Hurricane Force Storm Eastern North Atlantic

 

NOAA OPC Surface Analysis

NOAA OPC Surface Analysis

As of 0600 UTC 06 February, an intense hurricane force 932MB low was moving northward over the eastern North Atlantic is producing storm force winds outward 350-450 NM of the center and hurricane force winds (up to 80 knots) between 90-170 NM south and southeast of the center.  Wave heights in the area are estimated to be up to 15 meters (almost 50 feet).

NOAA OPC1200 UTC 06 Feb. 2017 Wave Height Analysis

NOAA OPC1200 UTC 06 Feb. 2017 Wave Height Analysis

ASCAT (METOP-B) Satellite Winds showing winds to 80 knots.

ASCAT (METOP-B) Satellite Winds showing winds to 80 knots.

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Hurricane Force Storm to affect westbound North Atlantic Shipping

 

NOAA OPC Surface Analysis

A developing 1017 mb off the US East Coast will move northeast and deepen rapidly over the next 48-72 hours with winds reaching storm to hurricane force within the next 36-48 hours then deepening to 936 mb in 72 Hours! Again we will likely see westbound shipping delays for vessels westbound to the US East Coast.

NOAA Surface Forecast Map

NOAA Surface Forecast Map

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Stormy Eastern North Atlantic

 

1200 UTC NOAA OPC Surface Analysis Feb 01 2017

1200 UTC NOAA OPC Surface Analysis Feb 01 2017

An intense storm low over the eastern North Atlantic with storm to hurricane force winds and seas to 14 meters (46 feet) will turn northeast then northward passing just west of Ireland.  A rapidly deepening low will develop over the central North Atlantic in 24-36 hours deepening and moving ENE to near Brest in northwest France within 72 hours.  This will bring storm to hurricane force winds and seas  into the Bay of Biscay and the English Channel approaches.

Meteosat photo 01 Feb 2017

Meteosat photo 01 Feb 2017

1200 UTC NOAA OPC Wave Analysis Feb 01 217

1200 UTC NOAA OPC Wave Analysis Feb 01 217

000UTC NOAA OPC Surface Forecast 03 Feb 2017

000UTC NOAA OPC Surface Forecast 03 Feb 2017

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Rapidly developing hurricane force storm off US East Coast

NOAA OPC Surface Forecast for 1200UTC Tuesday 31 Jan. 2017

NOAA OPC Surface Forecast for 1200UTC Tuesday 31 Jan. 2017

The low pressure center that moved off the US East Coast will deepen rapidly producing Storm to hurricane force winds (50-75 knots) with seas building 24-52 feet (about 7-16 meters) south of the center during the next 48 hours.  This will adversely affect westbound ship traffic approaching the US East Coast.

 

NOAA OPC 48 hour sea height forecast for 1200UTC 01 Feb 2017

NOAA OPC 48 hour sea height forecast for 1200UTC 01 Feb 2017

This storm will spread hurricane force winds and high seas eastward into the eastern North Atlantic waters by the 2nd affecting shipping traffic westbound out of the English Channel.

North Atlantic surface forecast 0000UTC 02 Feb. 2017

North Atlantic surface forecast 0000UTC 02 Feb. 2017

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West Pacific stormtracks may delay westbound shipping

Strong Arctic high pressure building over Siberia eastward will suppress stormtracks far to the south across the western North Pacific during the next several days.  This will likely result in delays to west-bound traffic from the Panama Canal to Far East ports.

NOAA OPC 48 hour surface forecast

NOAA OPC 48 hour surface forecast

NOAA OPC 96 hour surface forecast

NOAA OPC 96 hour surface forecast

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Hurricane Force West Pac Storm

Western North Pacific Hurricane Force Storm low.

Western North Pacific Hurricane Force Storm low.

A developing storm low over the Western North Pacific east of Japan is moving towards the northeast at 20 knots with winds of 50-70 knots and significant wave heights of 32-46 feet (10-14 meters) during the next 12-24 hours

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Strong High Pressure block building over Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska

North Pacific 48 Hour Surface Forecast: NOAA OPC

North Pacific 48 Hour Surface Forecast: NOAA OPC

Just as there is currently a strong blocking high pressure over the northeastern North Atlantic, so is there a building high block over the Bering Sea and Gulf of Alaska shunting lows far to the south in the eastern North Pacific and it is causing lows over the western North Pacific to turn northward.

 

 

This weather pattern should allow for some winter-time great circle routes from the USWC to Far East for next several days.

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Strong High Pressure over Northeast Atlantic

northaltlantic1Strong high pressure during the next couple of days over the northeastern North Atlantic will drift slowly towards the S-SE keeping low pressure systems near or southward of 40N latitude.  This will open up an opportunity for great circle weather routes westbound from the English Channel to the US East Coast.

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Super Typhoon bears down on Philippines

Tyuphoon Nook-Ten Satellite image

Typhoon Nook-Ten Satellite image

Super Typhoon Nook-Ten at 0300 UTC 25 December 2016 was centered 298 NM ESE of Manila, Philippines and was moving westward at 7 knots with max winds of 135 knots with gusts possible to 165 knots.

Hurricane force winds extend outward 30-35 NM with 50 knot or higher winds extending outward 50-65 NM. Maximum significant wave height is estimate at 44 feet (13.4 meters). Nook-Ten is forecast to continue westward making landfall in the Philippines about 1200 UTC on the 25th.

JTWC Forecast Track

JTWC Forecast Track

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Super Typhoon Nock-Ten heads towards Philippines

JTWC Forecast Track

JTWC Forecast Track

Super Typhoon Nock-Ten over the western North Pacific now pacing winds of 130 knots as it moves westward toward the Philippines. Max significant sea heights estimated to be up to 43 feet (about 13 meters).

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