Hurricane Florence now Cat 4


NOAA Satellite image Hurricane Florence

Major Hurricane Florence continues to develop with max winds now at 115 knots (Cat 4). Florence is moving in an area where wind shear is forecast to increase during the next 48 hours so Florence is expected to weaken somewhat  but could again intensify thereafter.

NHC Forecast track with possible longer range tracks

Florence is moving towards the northwest at about 11 knots but a strengthening ridge to the north should cause a more westward track for a while. Thereafter, the track becomes uncertain with some models turning Florence northwest the north while others suggest Florence could move close to the US East Coast before turning.  If this happens, areas from the Carolinas to New England could be affected next Wednesday through Friday.

Estimated Wind Field Hurricane Florence

About Fred Pickhardt

I am a marine meteorologist and sailed briefly with American Export Lines in the Far East trade after graduating from State University of New York Maritime College. I have extensive experience in weather analysis, weather forecasting, optimum ship routing, vessel performance evaluations and forensic weather event reconstructions. I founded Ocean Weather Services and as Owner and Chief Consultant currently provide optimum ship routing services and forensic marine weather reports to the maritime industry.
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One Response to Hurricane Florence now Cat 4

  1. Mary says:

    That was a serious disaster. What should we expect in future? Will these hurricanes become a common affair.

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