Category Archives: Meteorology

Blocking High Pressure Continues over UK

strong blocking high continues over the UK Continue reading

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North Pacific Maritime Weather Outlook

The upper-level jet continues to be displaced south of 40 across the western and central North Pacific  Continue reading

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High Pressure Block to Develop over Northeastern Atlantic

An upper-level blocking pattern is forecast to develop over the Northeastern North Atlantic over the next several days which will deflect low tracks northward Continue reading

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South Indian Ocean Weather Outlook

Marine Weather Outlook South Indian Ocean Continue reading

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The Other Hurricane Season  

Each year there are, on average, about 6 hurricanes in the North Atlantic, 8 in the Eastern North Pacific and 17 Typhoons in the western North Pacific. Few people (outside of Mariners) realize that there is another season of hurricane winds that occurs over both the North Atlantic and the North Pacific Ocean and runs from September to May. These storms do not track through the tropics, but instead are associated with the extratropical cyclones of the mid-latitudes.
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Elsa less than forecast for Tampa Bay

As Tropical Storm Elsa was moving north off the west coast of Florida on July 6th, the National Hurricane Center in Miami upgraded Elsa to a hurricane at 1:45pm on the 6th based on an Air Force Recon report that … Continue reading

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2021 North Atlantic Hurricane forecasts

Each spring there are numerous government and private organizations that undertake the task of predicting the North Atlantic Hurricane season.  This year, the 2021 North Atlantic hurricane forecasts are calling for another above-normal hurricane season with between 12 and 20 … Continue reading

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Monster North Pacific Storm Sets Record

As 2020 transitioned into 2021, a rapidly deepening and intense hurricane-force storm over the western North Pacific has set an all-time record low central pressure of 921 mb breaking the previous record of 924 mb recorded on Nov 8th, 2014 … Continue reading

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Tampa Bay Hurricane Storm Surge Scenarios

While no storm scenario is a good one for the Tampa Bay area, the worst case is when the hurricane center is located north of the Tampa Bay entrance such that the maximum winds associated with the eye wall occur at the mouth of the bay with storms making landfall farther north result in lower surges. Continue reading

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What is a Storm Surge?

Storm Surge is the abnormal sea level elevations (or depressions) caused by winds and atmospheric pressure. The components are: 1. Coastal set up (down) by the along shore wind stress.  In deep water, the Earth’s rotation causes a water to … Continue reading

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