Tag Archives: Hurricane

Major Hurricane Florence Update

Posted on September 10, 2018 by Fred Pickhardt

Major Hurricane Florence currently with max winds about 120 knots was moving west at 11 knots.  A building ridge to the north is forecast to steer Florence WNW then NW during the next 48-72 hours with an increase in forward … Continue reading →

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Hurricane Florence now Cat 4

Posted on September 5, 2018 by Fred Pickhardt

  Major Hurricane Florence continues to develop with max winds now at 115 knots (Cat 4). Florence is moving in an area where wind shear is forecast to increase during the next 48 hours so Florence is expected to weaken … Continue reading →

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Hurricane Lane threatens Hawaiian Islands

Posted on August 22, 2018 by Fred Pickhardt

Hurricane Lane over the central North Pacific has max winds of 125 knots and was moving northwestward towards the Hawaiian Islands and is forecast to turn more towards the north during the next 24-36 hours.  In 48-72 hours track guidance … Continue reading →

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Predictability of Atlantic hurricanes

Posted on August 17, 2018 by Fred Pickhardt

By Judith Curry Cayman Financial Review  The 2017 Atlantic hurricane season was remarkable, including five landfalls of Category 5 storms in the Caribbean Basin, and three Category 4 strikes on the U.S. coastline. The 2017 landfalls cost hundreds of lives … Continue reading →

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TS Chris nears Hurricane Strength off US East Coast

Posted on July 9, 2018 by Fred Pickhardt

TS Chris continues to strengthen off the US East Coast with max winds at 60 knots is close to reaching hurricane strength. Chris is nearly stationary but is forecast to begin moving towards the northeast in about 36 hours.   Chris … Continue reading →

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Hurricane Beryl Threatens Lesser Antilles

Posted on July 6, 2018 by Fred Pickhardt

Beryl has deepened to hurricane strength over the tropical North Atlantic.  Beryl is a compact hurricane that had a pinhole eye with max winds of about 70 knots and is moving westward at about 13 knots. Beryl’s wind field is … Continue reading →

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Hurricane Bud Forecast to weaken

Posted on June 12, 2018 by Fred Pickhardt

Hurricane Bud reached peak intensity around 0600 UTC with a max wind of about 110 knots as it moved towards the northwest at about 5 knots. Hurricane Bud is forecast move in a north-northwestward direction for the next 36 hours … Continue reading →

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North Atlantic Cooling will affect the Hurricane Season

Posted on June 1, 2018 by Fred Pickhardt

The main tropical development area for the North Atlantic continues to cool relative to recent averages suggesting a stronger than normal Bermuda-Azores ridge. When this high pressure ridge is stronger or displaced west, as it appears to be now, tropical storm … Continue reading →

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Dangerous West Pacific Storm Developing

Posted on October 23, 2017 by Fred Pickhardt

  Post-Tropical Hurricane Force Storm Lan will move rapidly northeast and transfer its energy to a developing storm low that will move towards the southwestern Bering Sea and western Aleutian islands.       This developing storm will deepen very … Continue reading →

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Hurricane Nate Saturday Update

Posted on October 7, 2017 by Fred Pickhardt

Hurricane Nate continues to intensify over the warm Gulf of Mexico as it moves rapidly toward the north-northwest at 23 knots (26 mph). Currently max winds are 80 knots (90 mph)but conditions appear favorable for Nate to continue strengthening for … Continue reading →

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